SUPER El Niño 2026. The WORST in recorded history?

El Niño 2026 is attracting lots of very dramatic headlines right now. The data are pointing towards a probable El Niño event in the summer and latter part of 2026, likely continuing into 2027. There is a wide spread of possible outcomes, one of which is that we could see a 'SUPER' El Niño - perhaps even the strongest El Niño in recorded human history. So, why now?

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Reference Links

Just Have a Think El Niño explainer video
https://youtu.be/rwdxffEzQ9I

NOAA
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

Climate Reanalyzer (daily sea surface and air temperature charts)
https://climatereanalyzer.org/

Met Office
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2026/met-office-what-is-el-nino-and-will-we-see-one-this-year

ECMWF
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/science-blog/2026/el-nino-2026

Severe Weather Europe
https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/arctic-sea-ice-meets-super-el-nino-2026-2027-atmospheric-impact-polar-vortex-winter-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

The Tipping Points of Climate Change — and Where We Stand | Johan Rockström | TED
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vl6VhCAeEfQ


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