"AI" won't replace all programmers. We've heard this before.

Generative AI won't replace all programmers. These panics happen every few years, and Generative AI isn't any more likely to replace all the programmer jobs than the many previous things.

Here's the story of what was supposed to kill the IT industry in 2000-2004, what actually happened, why that situation is similar to today's, and why surviving that one can give us confidence we'll survive this one.

References from this video:
Ridiculous "No programmers in 5 years" quote:
https://youtu.be/ciX_iFGyS0M?t=830

Forrester Research forecast from 2002 about millions of jobs being "lost":
https://www.forrester.com/about-us/forrester-timeline/#year2000
https://www.cnet.com/culture/study-supports-controversial-offshore-numbers/
https://www.computerworld.com/article/2564099/more-it-jobs-to-go-offshore--controversial-itaa-report-says.html

Bad "advice" for programmers who want to remain employed from 2004:
https://www.computerworld.com/article/2563305/how-to-prevent-offshoring-from-taking-your-job.html

Article about robotaxi accident, and how the "AI" made the situation worse:
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/how-gms-cruise-robotaxi-tech-failures-led-it-drag-pedestrian-20-feet-2024-01-26/

NOTE: (Not that anyone will read this, but) When this video uses the term "AI." it (like most of the current discourse these days) means current and near future "Generative AI" a.k.a. Large Language Models. If you're thinking about the Agents from the Matrix or the Robots from Terminator, that's DIFFERENT. That's the OTHER AI, the Human-Intelligence General AI, Sometimes called "AGI." That DOES NOT EXIST. For the time being it's PURE FICTION. It may get here soon, although I (and a lot of people smarter than me) seriously doubt it, but we'll see.